CLIVAR Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction

Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction 11th Session

Barcelona SPAIN, 7-8 June 2007

Agenda

Thursday 7 June 2007 1.45 - 5.45 pm

--Welcome and review of Agenda (T. Stockdale and B. Kirtman (co-chairs, WGSIP))

--Brief review of relevant CLIVAR and WCRP activities

-Report from the CLIVAR IPO (A. Pirani)
-Reports from the CLIVAR 2006 SSG (T. Palmer) and the WCRP 2007 JSC (J. Shukla, A. Henderson Sellers)
-Interactions with GEWEX (R. Koster)
-WCRP Model Errors Workshop Report (M. Déqué)
-Report from WGOMD (M. Balmaseda)
-VACS activities (W. Landman)
-VAMOS Modeling Collaboration (P. Nobre and B. Kirtman)

--New and proposed WGSIP collaborations

-Decadal prediction experiments, together with WGCM, as proposed by the JSC. (T. Palmer to introduce)
-Definition of reference ocean spin-up for use in basic seasonal forecast experiments (collaboration with Pacific Panel and WGOMD) (M. Balmaseda, Pacific Panel)
-Definition of recommended protocol for testing coupled GCMs in seasonal forecast mode (collaboration with WGNE and WGCM).

--Ongoing WGSIP activities

-Understanding forecast skill (B. Kirtman)
-WGSIP Standard hindcast and verification system (T. Ose)
-Tropical cyclones in 20km resolution AMIP Experiments (T. Ose)
-Prediction and predictability of the global atmosphere-ocean system from days to decades (G. Boer)
-Decadal multi-model potential predictability (G. Boer)
-Some lessons from SMIP2? (G. Boer)

--Review of Seasonal Prediction Workshop and TFSP experiments

-Review of workshop and its recommendations (B. Kirtman)
-Discussion and decisions on data issues (T. Stockdale)
-Discussion and decisions on additional experimental protocols

--Review of national and regional activities

-Developments at IRI (B. DeWitt)
-Developments at NCEP (H.-L. Pan)
-CCSM3.0 Predictability Experiments (B. Kirtman)
-Developments at BMRC (G. Wang)
-Developments at FRCGC (T. Ose)
-Developments at CPTEC (P. Nobre)

--Action items and organization of future activities (T. Stockdale and B. Kirtman)

-Review of action items from last meeting
-Future WGSIP work related to applications (A. Morse)
-Agreement on overall work plan, including new topics and continuation of existing activities
-Action items for the coming year
-Membership changes
-Possible dates and places for next WGSIP session.

Participants

Panel Members

Tim Stockdale (Co-Chair), Ben Kirtman (Co-Chair), Willem Landman, Pablo Nobre, Guomin Wang, Michel Deque, George Boer, Andy Morse, Dave DeWitt, Chung-Kyu Park, Tomoaki Ose, Hualu Pan

Anna Pirani (CLIVAR WGSIP Staff Scientist)

Invitees

Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda, Ken Mooney, Jim Kinter, Ann Henderson Sellers, Jagadish Shukla, Tim Palmer, Bill Merryfield, Franco Molteni, Eric Guilyardi

last updated Fri, Sep 14, 2007 by Anna Pirani