International CLIVAR Project Office
National Oceanography Centre
European Way
Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK
Phone: +44-2380 596777
Fax: +44-2380 596204
Email: icpo@noc.soton.ac.uk
CLIVAR Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction
Terms of reference
1. develop a programme of numerical experimentation for seasonal-to-interannual variability and predictability, paying special attention to assessing and improving predictions;
2. develop appropriate data assimilation, model initialization and forecasting procedures for seasonal-to-interannual predictions, considering such factors as observing system evaluation, use of ensemble and probabilistic methods and statistical and empirical enhancements, and measures of forecast skill;
3. advise the CLIVAR SSG on the status of seasonal to interannual forecasting and on the adequacy of the CLIVAR observing system, and to liaise with JSC/CLIVAR Working Group on Coupled Modelling and the JSC/CAS Working Group on Numerical Experimentation.